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Mole's Progressive Democrat

The Progressive Democrat Newsletter grew out of the frustration of the 2004 election. Originally intended for New York City progressives, its readership is now national. For anyone who wants to be alerted by email whenever this newsletter is updated (usually weekly), please send your email address and let me know what state you live in (so I can keep track of my readership).

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I am a research biologist in NYC. Married with two kids living in Brooklyn.

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  • Thursday, October 16, 2008

    Progressive Democrat Issue 186

    This was the moment that John McCain sealed not just his fate, but the fate of the Republican Party this year. There will be no comeback in 2008:



    John McCain cedes the "health" of the mother to the Democratic Party, thus alienating women voters. But I see something deeper in this clip. It cedes "health" altogether. It admits that to the Republican party, the healthcare crisis is not of concern to them. "Health" is, to McCain and the Republican Party, so unimportant that it gets put into finger quotes. John McCain has just defined "health" as nothing but a rhetorical talking point.

    And herein lies a sharp difference between the two political parties. To the Republican Party, the "health of the mother," "healthcare" and the related "healthcare crisis," "education," "farmers," "environment," "Joe six pack," "Joe the plumber," etc. are all rhetorical talking points, not real issues to be solved with real solutions. In the end the Republican Party has no interest in these issues other than using them as rhetoric. To the Republican Party, to the degree they are interested in ANY of these issues, these offer only opportunities to give big business more money. "Health," "education," "housing," the whole agenda that average Americans worry about daily are handed over to the highest bidder. Republicans don't care about solving these issues, they care only about exploiting them politically and financially. That is why they never even ATTEMPT to solve them and stand in the way of any real solution. The only "solution" they ever offer is tax cuts to the rich and to big business. That is it.

    The Democratic Party, by sharp contrast, views these key issues not just as exploitable rhetorical talking points, but as genuine problems requiring genuine solutions. From FDR's New Deal to LBJ's Great Society, real solutions that affected real people have been the expertise of the Democratic Party. Even with issues like the deficit, the Republican Party has talked "fiscal responsibility" constantly since Reagan, but has also constantly run the highest deficits in American history through three presidencies and 12 years of Republican control of the White House. Even "fiscal responsibility" is a rhetorical talking point to be exploited while the Republicans really do nothing but help the rich while the middle class and working class drown.

    Yes, the word is drown. Figuratively and, in the case of Hurricane Katrina, literally. "Drown" was the word used by Grover Norquist when he defined the Republican ideology:

    "I don't want to abolish government. I simply want to reduce it to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub."


    This statement has been the basis of Republican policy. Norquist went into more detail:

    "Cutting the government in half in one generation is both an ambitious and reasonable goal," Norquist stated in May 2000. "If we work hard we will accomplish this and more by 2025. Then the conservative movement can set a new goal. I have a recommendation: To cut government in half again by 2050"


    What are the consequences of this extreme right-wing "Drown Government in a Bathtub" doctrine? You drown AMERICA along with it. You drown real life Americans.

    To Republicans government has no role in our lives. Levees are not maintained. Bridges are not maintained. "Infrastructure" is a rehtorical talking point which is in reality underfunded to the point where levees break and bridges collapse. And Americans drown for real.

    Your health, my health and our children's health don't matter. "Health" is a rehtorical talking point which is in reality left to a so-called business model which gives us some of the most expensive and least effective healthcare in the modern world. We pay the most yet the quality of care is on par with, I kid you not, Albania and Slovenia. And the fact that Republicans want to apply this same failed business model to education shows that "education" is also merely a rehtorical talking point that in reality will be sold to the highest bidder with no concern for the realities of education.

    Republicans want to drown government even if drowns Americans...but they then advocate government invasion of our privacy on all levels.

    This is why McCain reflexively put "health" in quotes. You care about the health of your children. McCain merely wants to exploit it for political and financial purposes. The actual quality of your child's health means NOTHING to John McCain.

    Barack Obama offers explicit solutions on a myriad of issues. He begins with a real energy policy and a real offer of tax cuts for those who have carried an increasing tax burden under Republican Presidents, the poor and middle classes, while increasing taxes on those who have carried a decreasing tax burden under Republican Presidents, the richest 10%. He even offers an explicit Economic Recovery Plan for the Middle Class that you can look at and review.

    Obama and most Democrats still focus on the so-called business model, but do not view it as the one and only tool available to solve our problems. Obama and the Democrats see government as actually GOVERNING the nation, not drowning it the way Grover Norquist promised and America witnessed after Katrina.

    I hear over and over from Greens and Independents that there is "no difference" between the Democrats and Republicans. This is demonstrably untrue. You can argue that there is not ENOUGH of a difference at times, but you cannot argue that there is no difference. And the difference was illustrated in the final debate of 2008. To Republicans, all the problems that American citizens face every day are rehtorical talking points put in quotes, and all they care about is a right wing ideology that drowns government until Americans drown but put government police in your bedroom to regulate who you have sex with and what you do with your body. Republicans are ideologues. Democrats view our problems as requiring solutions, as real, tangible issues that require practical solutions. Democrats roll up their sleeves and seek practical solutions. From the deficit (eliminated only under a Democratic President) to education and healthcare, OUR issues are DEMOCRATIC issues.

    How does this affect the outcome of the election? When push comes to shove and Americans are feeling the consequences of the Republican "Drown America" ideology, they turn to Democrats to solve their problems.

    Let me quote from an Oct. 13th entry (BEFORE the last debeate) on an openly pro-Republican polling website regarding the state of the election:

    Honestly, though, an Obama landslide is becoming more and more likely by the day. Let's take stock for a moment where we stand. Seven states representing 96 electoral votes are in the "Weak Obama" category this morning. All were Bush states in 2004. Even if McCain were to somehow win every one of those seven states, he'd still come up short, 265-274. To win the presidency, he'd have to add another state. But the prospects are virtually non-existent. Obama's lead in the rest of the states in his column is at least 5 points. And as an indication of just how strong Obama's advantage is right now, all but two Kerry states in 2004 are projected to stay with the Democrats by double-digits. The other two, Wisconsin and Minnesota, show Obama ahead by nine.


    I keep thinking the race will tighten...and I do see ways in which Obama's comanding lead could start to fall apart. But McCain is running out of time and there are signs that Obama hasn't even begun his full voter outreach effort. McCain continues to fade and Obama continues to surge...which makes a turn around increasingly unlikely.

    Next he turns to the situation in the Senate races:

    The gloom for the GOP is not confined to the presidential race. Indeed the most eyebrow-raising outcome of this election may come from the Senate...

    Three weeks out, I see the Democrats picking up a minimum of four seats - CO, NH, NM, VA. Four more look like toss-ups - AK, MN, NC, OR. Still others are vulnerable if the Democrats can get their vote out - GA, KY and MS (special). That's eleven seats in play. A filibuster-proof Senate is the prize if the Democrats can win nine of those eleven.


    I think Democrats probably won't win nine of those eleven seats...but they do have a shot at it. But you and I need to work a bit harder at it. I think it will require considerable effort and money to win those 9 Senate seats. But we are probably going to win at least 6. Maybe only 4 if we let this opportunity pass.

    Next the Republican polling site turns to the Governor races. Here it look like a break even year, but again Democrats have the momentum:

    month ago, Republicans could look at the balance of power in governorships as a bight spot. However, over the last two weeks, both their projected pickups - North Carolina and Washington - have returned to the Democratic column.


    I think both North Carolina and Washington State remain long shots for Democrats, but not distant longshots. We have to GOTV big time in both states to hold on to those Governorships. If you live in either state, please do your part! Missouri is our big pick up chance this year. We are consistently polling ahead in Missouri, but again, I suspect we need a very strong GOTV effort to win. So, if you live in Missouri, your efforts are needed big time.

    Finally, this relatively wise Republican reflects on the House:

    A significant decrease in GOP influence in the House is in store if Election Projection's current numbers hold true. The host of projected losses numbers a full dozen this morning. This week's update sees a net of two more House seats switch to the Democrats, bringing the projected count to 248-187.


    So, if this Republican, and honestly I have been following his stuff since 2006 and find him worth reading even though I often disagree with him, is correct, it will be an all out, knock down victory for Democrats this year and a full speed rout for Republicans. Be a part of it!

    This week I discuss the "gentleman" who started the "Obama is a Muslim" lie (hint: he's another anti-Semite that Fox News latched onto!), I focus on the latest Planned Parenthood opposition to Palin, I review McCain's ironic anti-Veteran history, and I once again discuss election protection (the secretary of state project).

    Here is this week's newsletter:

    TABLE OF CONTENTS:

    RIGHT WING IDIOCY: Obama as Muslim and "Exterminating Jew Power"

    PLANNED PARENTHOOD BLASTS PALIN AGAIN

    THE REAL McCAIN RECORD: Another anti-Veteran Republican

    ELECTION PROTECTION: The Secretary of State Project

    NORTH CAROLINA FOCUS

    MINNESOTA FOCUS

    VIRGINIA FOCUS

    FLORIDA FOCUS

    GEORGIA FOCUS

    OREGON FOCUS

    COLORADO FOCUS

    NEW YORK FOCUS

    WASHINGTON FOCUS

    NEVADA FOCUS

    MICHIGAN FOCUS

    NEW JERSEY FOCUS

    CALIFORNIA FOCUS

    OHIO FOCUS

    PENNSYLVANIA FOCUS

    IOWA FOCUS

    WISCONSIN FOCUS

    ARIZONA FOCUS

    ILLINOIS FOCUS

    ALASKA FOCUS

    TEXAS FOCUS

    MISSISSIPPI FOCUS

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